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Retrospective for the Dynamic Sensorium Competition for predicting large-scale mouse primary visual cortex activity from videos, Paul G. Fahey *,2-5,, Laura Hansel

Neural Information Processing Systems

Understanding how biological visual systems process information is challenging because of the nonlinear relationship between visual input and neuronal responses. Artificial neural networks allow computational neuroscientists to create predictive models that connect biological and machine vision. Machine learning has benefited tremendously from benchmarks that compare different models on the same task under standardized conditions. However, there was no standardized benchmark to identify state-of-the-art dynamic models of the mouse visual system. To address this gap, we established the SENSORIUM 2023 Benchmark Competition with dynamic input, featuring a new large-scale dataset from the primary visual cortex of ten mice.


Learning to Predict Structural Vibrations

Neural Information Processing Systems

In mechanical structures like airplanes, cars and houses, noise is generated and transmitted through vibrations. To take measures to reduce this noise, vibrations need to be simulated with expensive numerical computations. Deep learning surrogate models present a promising alternative to classical numerical simulations as they can be evaluated magnitudes faster, while trading-off accuracy. To quantify such trade-offs systematically and foster the development of methods, we present a benchmark on the task of predicting the vibration of harmonically excited plates. The benchmark features a total of 12,000 plate geometries with varying forms of beadings, material, boundary conditions, load position and sizes with associated numerical solutions. To address the benchmark task, we propose a new network architecture, named Frequency-Query Operator, which predicts vibration patterns of plate geometries given a specific excitation frequency. Applying principles from operator learning and implicit models for shape encoding, our approach effectively addresses the prediction of highly variable frequency response functions occurring in dynamic systems. To quantify the prediction quality, we introduce a set of evaluation metrics and evaluate the method on our vibrating-plates benchmark. Our method outperforms Deep-ONets, Fourier Neural Operators and more traditional neural network architectures and can be used for design optimization.


A Spatiotemporal Radar-Based Precipitation Model for Water Level Prediction and Flood Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Study Region: Goslar and G\"ottingen, Lower Saxony, Germany. Study Focus: In July 2017, the cities of Goslar and G\"ottingen experienced severe flood events characterized by short warning time of only 20 minutes, resulting in extensive regional flooding and significant damage. This highlights the critical need for a more reliable and timely flood forecasting system. This paper presents a comprehensive study on the impact of radar-based precipitation data on forecasting river water levels in Goslar. Additionally, the study examines how precipitation influences water level forecasts in G\"ottingen. The analysis integrates radar-derived spatiotemporal precipitation patterns with hydrological sensor data obtained from ground stations to evaluate the effectiveness of this approach in improving flood prediction capabilities. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: A key innovation in this paper is the use of residual-based modeling to address the non-linearity between precipitation images and water levels, leading to a Spatiotemporal Radar-based Precipitation Model with residuals (STRPMr). Unlike traditional hydrological models, our approach does not rely on upstream data, making it independent of additional hydrological inputs. This independence enhances its adaptability and allows for broader applicability in other regions with RADOLAN precipitation. The deep learning architecture integrates (2+1)D convolutional neural networks for spatial and temporal feature extraction with LSTM for timeseries forecasting. The results demonstrate the potential of the STRPMr for capturing extreme events and more accurate flood forecasting.


Taking the neural sampling code very seriously: A data-driven approach for evaluating generative models of the visual system

Neural Information Processing Systems

Prevailing theories of perception hypothesize that the brain implements perception via Bayesian inference in a generative model of the world. One prominent theory, the Neural Sampling Code (NSC), posits that neuronal responses to a stimulus represent samples from the posterior distribution over latent world state variables that cause the stimulus. Although theoretically elegant, NSC does not specify the exact form of the generative model or prescribe how to link the theory to recorded neuronal activity. Previous works assume simple generative models and test their qualitative agreement with neurophysiological data. Currently, there is no precise alignment of the normative theory with neuronal recordings, especially in response to natural stimuli, and a quantitative, experimental evaluation of models under NSC has been lacking.


Graphical Transformation Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Graphical Transformation Models (GTMs) are introduced as a novel approach to effectively model multivariate data with intricate marginals and complex dependency structures non-parametrically, while maintaining interpretability through the identification of varying conditional independencies. GTMs extend multivariate transformation models by replacing the Gaussian copula with a custom-designed multivariate transformation, offering two major advantages. Firstly, GTMs can capture more complex interdependencies using penalized splines, which also provide an efficient regularization scheme. Secondly, we demonstrate how to approximately regularize GTMs using a lasso penalty towards pairwise conditional independencies, akin to Gaussian graphical models. The model's robustness and effectiveness are validated through simulations, showcasing its ability to accurately learn parametric vine copulas and identify conditional independencies. Additionally, the model is applied to a benchmark astrophysics dataset, where the GTM demonstrates favorable performance compared to non-parametric vine copulas in learning complex multivariate distributions.


Significant advancements in large language models

Neural Information Processing Systems

Large language models have demonstrated remarkable capabilities but their performance is heavily reliant on effective prompt engineering. Automatic prompt optimization (APO) methods are designed to automate this and can be broadly categorized into those targeting instructions (instruction optimization, IO) vs. those targeting exemplars (exemplar optimization, EO). Despite their shared objective, these have evolved rather independently, with IO receiving more research attention recently. This paper seeks to bridge this gap by comprehensively comparing the performance of representative IO and EO techniques both isolation and combination on a diverse set of challenging tasks. Our findings reveal that intelligently reusing model-generated input-output pairs obtained from evaluating prompts on the validation set as exemplars, consistently improves performance on top of IO methods but is currently under-investigated. We also find that despite the recent focus on IO, how we select exemplars can outweigh how we optimize instructions, with EO strategies as simple as random search outperforming state-of-the-art IO methods with seed instructions without any optimization. Moreover, we observe a synergy between EO and IO, with optimal combinations surpassing the individual contributions. We conclude that studying exemplar optimization both as a standalone method and its optimal combination with instruction optimization remain a crucial aspect of APO and deserve greater consideration in future research, even in the era of highly capable instruction-following models.


A Study into Investigating Temporal Robustness of LLMs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) encapsulate a surprising amount of factual world knowledge. However, their performance on temporal questions and historical knowledge is limited because they often cannot understand temporal scope and orientation or neglect the temporal aspect altogether. In this study, we aim to measure precisely how robust LLMs are for question answering based on their ability to process temporal information and perform tasks requiring temporal reasoning and temporal factual knowledge. Specifically, we design eight time-sensitive robustness tests for factual information to check the sensitivity of six popular LLMs in the zero-shot setting. Overall, we find LLMs lacking temporal robustness, especially to temporal reformulations and the use of different granularities of temporal references. We show how a selection of these eight tests can be used automatically to judge a model's temporal robustness for user questions on the fly. Finally, we apply the findings of this study to improve the temporal QA performance by up to 55 percent.


ReMAP: Neural Model Reprogramming with Network Inversion and Retrieval-Augmented Mapping for Adaptive Motion Forecasting

Neural Information Processing Systems

Mobility impairment caused by limb loss, aging, stroke, and other movement deficiencies is a significant challenge faced by millions of individuals worldwide. Advanced assistive technologies, such as prostheses and orthoses, have the potential to greatly improve the quality of life for such individuals. A critical component in the design of these technologies is the accurate forecasting of reference joint motion for impaired limbs, which is hindered by the scarcity of joint locomotion data available for these patients. To address this, we propose ReMAP, a novel model repurposing strategy that leverages deep learning's reprogramming property, incorporating network inversion principles and retrieval-augmented mapping. Our approach adapts models originally designed for able-bodied individuals to forecast joint motion in limb-impaired patients without altering model parameters. We demonstrate the efficacy of ReMAP through extensive empirical studies on data from below-knee-challenged patients, showcasing significant improvements over traditional transfer learning and fine-tuning methods. These findings have significant implications for advancing assistive technology and mobility for patients with amputations, stroke, or aging.


Hierarchical clustering with maximum density paths and mixture models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hierarchical clustering is an effective and interpretable technique for analyzing structure in data, offering a nuanced understanding by revealing insights at multiple scales and resolutions. It is particularly helpful in settings where the exact number of clusters is unknown, and provides a robust framework for exploring complex datasets. Additionally, hierarchical clustering can uncover inner structures within clusters, capturing subtle relationships and nested patterns that may be obscured by traditional flat clustering methods. However, existing hierarchical clustering methods struggle with high-dimensional data, especially when there are no clear density gaps between modes. Our method addresses this limitation by leveraging a two-stage approach, first employing a Gaussian or Student's t mixture model to overcluster the data, and then hierarchically merging clusters based on the induced density landscape. This approach yields state-of-the-art clustering performance while also providing a meaningful hierarchy, making it a valuable tool for exploratory data analysis. Code is available at https://github.com/ecker-lab/tneb clustering.


Reproducibility of predictive networks for mouse visual cortex Max F. Burg, 1-3 Fabian H. Sinz, 1-2

Neural Information Processing Systems

Deep predictive models of neuronal activity have recently enabled several new discoveries about the selectivity and invariance of neurons in the visual cortex. These models learn a shared set of nonlinear basis functions, which are linearly combined via a learned weight vector to represent a neuron's function. Such weight vectors, which can be thought as embeddings of neuronal function, have been proposed to define functional cell types via unsupervised clustering. However, as deep models are usually highly overparameterized, the learning problem is unlikely to have a unique solution, which raises the question if such embeddings can be used in a meaningful way for downstream analysis. In this paper, we investigate how stable neuronal embeddings are with respect to changes in model architecture and initialization.